E-Content Learning Modules
How can obtaining opinion of,say 30,000 voters be sufficient to predict the outcome of
an election in a country with over 70 Crore voters? Do the opinion polls conducted say
a month before the election accurately predict what is to happen on the voting day?
We will address such questions and show that simple mathematics and statistics,lots
of common sense and a good understanding of the ground reality or domain knowledge
together can yield very good forecast or predictions of the outcome of elections based on
opinion polls and exit polls. I will share my own experiences with opinion polls and exit
polls over last 18 years.
Director,Chennai Mathematical Institute(CMI),Chennai.
Fellow of Indian National Academy of Sciences
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