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Prof. Rajeeva Karandikar
Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls

Duration :1.08.50
Prof. Rajeeva Karandikar


Mathematics




1707 Views Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls

How can obtaining opinion of,say 30,000 voters be sufficient to predict the outcome of an election in a country with over 70 Crore voters? Do the opinion polls conducted say a month before the election accurately predict what is to happen on the voting day? We will address such questions and show that simple mathematics and statistics,lots of common sense and a good understanding of the ground reality or domain knowledge together can yield very good forecast or predictions of the outcome of elections based on opinion polls and exit polls. I will share my own experiences with opinion polls and exit polls over last 18 years.

Prof. Rajeeva Karandikar

Director,Chennai Mathematical Institute(CMI),Chennai. Fellow of Indian National Academy of Sciences

 

Contact Us: ecdlic@unipune.ac.in

 

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